Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems (Record no. 59416)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 05847nam a22005175i 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 978-0-387-89014-2
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field DE-He213
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20251006084429.0
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field cr nn 008mamaa
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 100301s2009 xxu| s |||| 0|eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9780387890142
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 99780387890142
024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1007/978-0-387-89014-2
Source of number or code doi
082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 658.40301
Edition information 23
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Cox, Louis Anthony.
Relator term author.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems
Medium [electronic resource] /
Statement of responsibility, etc. by Louis Anthony Cox.
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture Boston, MA :
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer Springer US,
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2009.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent XXVIII, 436 p.
Other physical details online resource.
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Content type code txt
Source rdacontent
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term computer
Media type code c
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term online resource
Carrier type code cr
Source rdacarrier
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS
File type text file
Encoding format PDF
Source rda
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement International Series in Operations Research & Management Science,
International Standard Serial Number 0884-8289 ;
Volume/sequential designation 129
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note 1 INTRODUCTION TO RISK ANALYSIS -- Quantitative Risk Assessment Goals and Challenges -- to Engineering Risk Analysis -- to Health Risk Analysis -- 2 AVOIDING BAD RISK ANALYSIS -- Limitations of Risk Assessment Using Risk Matrices -- Limitations of Quantitative Risk Assessment Using Aggregate Exposure and Risk Models -- 3 PRINCIPLES FOR DOING BETTER -- Identifying Nonlinear Causal Relations in Large Data Sets -- Overcoming Preconceptions and Confirmation Biases Using Data Mining -- Estimating the Fraction of Disease Caused by One Component of a Complex Mixture: Bounds for Lung Cancer -- Bounding Resistance Risks for Penicillin -- Confronting Uncertain Causal Mechanisms - Portfolios of Possibilities -- Determining What Can Be Predicted: Identifiability -- 4 APPLICATIONS AND EXTENSIONS -- Predicting the Effects of Changes: Could Removing Arsenic from Tobacco Smoke Significantly Reduce Smoker Risks of Lung Cancer? -- Simplifying Complex Dynamic Networks: A Model of Protease Imbalance and COPD Dynamic Dose-Response -- Value of Information (VOI) in Risk Management Policies for Tracking and Testing Imported Cattle for BSE -- Improving Antiterrorism Risk Analysis -- Designing Resilient Telecommunications Networks.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. "Tony Cox is among the most active and creative architects and users of quantitative risk analysis. This book is full of interesting equations, conceptual designs and conundrums that characterize QRA and its applications to risk management. Informed by trenchant thinking and perceptive writing, this is a timely resource for the risk analysis community." Michael R. Greenberg, Professor and Faculty Dean, Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy, Rutgers University "Tony Cox's impressive book applies both simple and cutting-edge risk models to a variety of fields. It demonstrates creative but tractable ways to model real-world problems of great practical importance regarding biological, engineering, and social risks. This book deserves to become influential and widely read by those seeking practical state-of-the-art methods for risk analysis." Vicki Bier, Professor, Engineering Physics and Industrial Engineering & Director - Center for Human Performance and Risk Analysis, University of Wisconsin-Madison "Risk analysis is as old as the first cave dweller mulling how to survive winter or woolly mammoths. It remains essential today in our world of accidents, disease, climate change and terrorism. But some say that quantitative risk analysis is too complicated or time-consuming, and that qualitative intuition is a better way to make decisions. In this ambitious and meticulous book, Tony Cox makes the case that quantitative risk analysis is actually the antidote to uncertainty and complexity, superior to other modes of thinking, both practical and effective. Cox raises the bar on a vital debate." Jonathan B. Wiener, Duke University, and President, Society for Risk Analysis (2008) "This is an excellent, approachable read for any risk manager. Simple but devastating examples show how not to do risk analysis. Insightful case studies apply quantitative risk assessment to natural, random threats, and to terrorist threats posed by an intelligent adversary. This is a timely and much-needed resource for skeptical consumers of risk analysis advice and products, and for those who need to improve upon current, dangerously simplistic, guidance on threat assessment and risk management." Gerald G. Brown, Distinguished Professor, Operations Research Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA "This book provides a refreshing new perspective on quantitative risk assessment, and should be of interest to a wide range of practitioners. Drawing substantially on his own work, Tony Cox demonstrates that QRA can be applied even to challenging and complex systems." Suresh Moolgavkar, Vice President and Principal Scientist, Exponent Scientific Consulting; Professor of Epidemiology, University of Washington
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element ECONOMICS.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element DISTRIBUTION (PROBABILITY THEORY).
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element ENVIRONMENTAL MEDICINE.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element SOCIAL POLICY.
650 14 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element ECONOMICS/MANAGEMENT SCIENCE.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element OPERATIONS RESEARCH/DECISION THEORY.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element MATH. APPL. IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element SOCIAL POLICY.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element PROBABILITY THEORY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY.
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element SpringerLink (Online service)
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Springer eBooks
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Relationship information Printed edition:
International Standard Book Number 9780387890135
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title International Series in Operations Research & Management Science,
International Standard Serial Number 0884-8289 ;
Volume/sequential designation 129
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-89014-2">http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-89014-2</a>
Public note Ver el texto completo en las instalaciones del CICY
912 ## -
-- ZDB-2-SBE
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Libros electrónicos
Holdings
Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total checkouts Full call number Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
  Dewey Decimal Classification     Libro electrónico CICY CICY Libro electrónico 06.10.2025   658.40301 06.10.2025 06.10.2025 Libros electrónicos